Download our latest FES 2022 Document suite and check out the archive of older FES documents.

Document suite

Future Energy Scenarios 2022 report

The Future Energy Scenarios publication outlines a number of credible energy futures that mean we can continue to support the development of the energy system.

Future Energy Scenarios 2022 in Five

For faster reading, download our FES summary document, which highlights the key headlines and statistics from the full publication.

Download the full suite of FES 2022 documents

FES 2022 full report - interactive version

The Future Energy Scenarios publication outlines a number of credible energy futures that mean we can continue to support the development of the energy system.

FES 2022 full report - print version

This is a non-interactive version of the FES publication that is optimised for printing or viewing on a tablet or mobile device.

FES in Five - interactive version

For faster reading, download our FES summary document, which highlights the key headlines and statistics from the full publication.

FES in Five - print version

This is a non-interactive version of the FES in Five document that is optimised for printing or viewing on a tablet or mobile device.

FES 2022 Data workbook

All the graphs, charts and supporting data published in FES 2022 from our modelling. If using Edge you need to download the file rather than view online.

FES 2022 scenario assumptions

Find out what assumptions we used in our models for FES 2022.

Regional breakdown of FES electricity data (maps)

Explore the geographical differences in electricity demand within National Grid ESO's Future Energy Scenarios 2022.

Regional breakdown of FES data (workbook)

FES modelling data segmented by region.

Key changes from FES 2021 to 2022

Discover what’s changed from FES 2021 to FES 2022.

How we do our modelling for FES 2022

Learn more about the models we used to base the scenarios on.

FES Archive

The FES archive dates back to 2011, and all of our documents are publicly available for download.

FES 2020 Virtual Conference

During the week of 27 July, we held a series of virtual events to share the key insight from our FES 2020 analysis. This included a launch on Monday 27 July to present the FES 2020 key messages and the significant findings from the analysis. 

On Wednesday 29 July and Thursday 30 July, we hosted a series of deep dive sessions to look at specific topics in more detail.

You can now watch the events on catch-up.

FES 2020 launch event

FES 2020 Documents

All FES 2020 documents including:

FES in 5, Data workbooks, Scenario framework  and Modelling methods can be found here:

Deep Dives - 29 - 30 July 2020

Watch the deep dive sessions including a series of short presentations followed by Q&A time with the team.

Call for Evidence for Future Energy Scenarios (FES) 2019

Throughout September, we ran a Call for Evidence as a start to our work for FES 2019. We wanted to provide ample opportunity for our growing stakeholder base to engage with us and to help us develop next year’s scenarios. In this Call for Evidence we explored a range of energy demand and supply issues and invited comments on these. You can see a summary of the responses and questions below. Please note that the views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in the responses belong to those that completed the Call for Evidence and do not necessarily reflect those of National Grid. We will take all the comments into account when developing FES 2019.

  • In total, we received 70 responses to the Call for Evidence
  • An initial summary of the responses to the Call for Evidence can be found here
  • Click here to see the responses from the stakeholders who gave us permission to share them
  • For the full list of questions we asked, click here 

Stakeholder Engagement Workshops

Our generic stakeholder workshops this year were held on 18 October in Warwick and 25 October in London. Both events were well attended by a wide spectrum of stakeholders from across the energy industry and beyond who gave us valuable feedback on key themes for FES 2019 and on issues emerging from the Call for Evidence.

To view the morning presentation from the events, which includes a high-level overview of the Call for Evidence and an update about the changing role of the System Operator, click here. 

Themed workshops

On Thursday 11th October, we co-organised a themed workshop with stakeholders from a broad range of sectors to discuss the Future of Electric Vehicles. Read a summary of the outputs of the event here. 

The Future of Heat workshop was held on 20 November and was attend by a wide representation from the heating and power industry. Click here for the presentation and here for the summary of the outputs.

FES 2019 Documents

All FES 2019 documents including:

FES in 5, Data workbooks, Scenario framework, Modelling methods and our Comparison document can be found here:

FES 2019 launch conference - videos

FES 2019 launch conference - presentations

FES 2018 was published on Thursday 12th July 2018.

For an overview of FES 2018 including the key messages, watch the short animation film below:

To download any of the 2018 FES copies, click on the links.

The main FES provides an overview of key areas and alongside, we also publish:

  • FES in 5, which is a summary document with key headlines and statistics from FES;
  • Scenario Framework document (v2 updated 7 Feb 2019) which details all the assumptions that are used as inputs into our models;
  • Data Workbook (v2 updated 17 July 2018) which contains the outputs from the numerous models, including detailed tables, graphs and charts;
  • Modelling Methods document which contains information on our modelling methodology and assumptions;
  • Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) document (v3 updated 3 September 2018).

To find out more about what the key changes are from FES 2017 to 2018, check out the two documents below:

Regional breakdown of FES data

Our Future Energy Scenarios are intended to identify a range of credible scenarios across gas and electricity on a GB-wide basis. In order to support planning of the GB electricity transmission system, we split the GB-level data down into regional data sets using best available data. These data sets are published in November as part of the Electricity Ten Year Statement (ETYS).

In order to provide visibility and transparency of this work, below we have published a spreadsheet containing draft regional data for electricity in the four FES 2018 scenarios. We have also published the number of heat pumps and domestic electric vehicles per grid supply point in the four FES2018 scenarios. This data forms a starting point for our network analysis and should be considered draft at this stage as it may be modified for planning purposes in the subsequent processes.

To assist with understanding of the spreadsheets, we have also published the corresponding Spatial Methodology Document below:

To watch the live-stream recordings and presentations from the conference, click on the links below.

Morning presentation slides which include:

 Afternoon presentation slides which include the:

Presentation slides:

Afternoon breakout session presentations:

Stakeholder engagement workshops were held in October 2017. To see the presentations that were used for the four events, click on the links below: