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Welcome to the ESO Future Energy Scenarios

Breadcrumb

  • Future of Energy

Future Energy Scenarios (FES) represent a range of different, credible ways to decarbonise our energy system as we strive towards the 2050 target.

We’re just 30 years away from the net zero deadline, which isn’t long when you consider investment cycles for gas networks, electricity transmission lines and domestic heating systems.

FES has an important role to play in stimulating debate and helping to shape the energy system of the future.

FES 2020 documents

FES Menu

Future Energy ScenariosFES 2020 documentsGet involvedHow we develop scenariosBridging the gap to Net zeroConnect with FESFES 2020 Conference
National Grid ESO - Early Competition Plan -  consultation presentation event - volcano

Industry contributes to FES 2021

As part of our annual FES process, each year, we ask the industry for feedback, helping us to produce our scenarios.

Read a summary of what stakeholders have told us for FES 2021 together with the Scenario Framework.

Download PDF
FES Costings Cover

Analysing the cost of each scenario

We recently held a webinar to share the output from the FES 2020 costing work.

Download the report, data workbook and the slides we used during the webinar.

Download the FES costings
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How we develop scenarios

The Future Energy Scenarios are the result of in-depth analysis by our own team of experts, combined with stakeholder insight and input from industry specialists.

This collaborative approach gives us the breadth and depth of knowledge we need to develop realistic scenarios for the future of energy in the UK.

Our scenarios and modelling are used by National Grid ESO and wider energy industry.

Learn more

More from FES

Everything you need to know about this year’s FES and how you can get involved.

FES 2021 Call for Evidence

FES 2021 Call for Evidence

The FES 2021 Call for Evidence closed at the end of September. Read a summary of the responses we received.

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FES 2020 documents

All the FES documents for 2019 and previous years.

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How to contribute

We’d love to hear from you. Find out how and when you can get involved and details of our forthcoming events..

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How we develop the scenarios

Read our framework and learn more about how we get to the Future Energy Scenarios.

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Bridging the gap to Net zero

A closer look at the steps needed to achieve Net Zero by 2050.

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Connect with FES

Get in touch by email and follow us on social media.

More from ESO

Charging Port Blue Glow Getty

Zero carbon explained

We're aiming for electricity to be zero-carbon by 2025, watch the videos and find out what zero carbon means and why it's so important for the energy industry.

eso : Future of energy
National Grid ESO Bridging the gap report

Introducing Bridging the Gap 2020: Peaks and Troughs

Last year the ESO built on the success of our Future Energy Scenarios by launching FES Bridging the Gap to net zero. The report gives a collaborative view from across and outside the energy industry, focused on going beyond FES to recommend actions.

ETYS 2020

Read our Electricity Ten Year Statement 2020 (ETYS) online, which shows the needs of the network over the next ten years and find out how you can get involved.

eso : Electricity explained
Person using tablet with heating control function at home Getty

Introducing our Carbon Intensity app

Our Energy Intelligence Manager James Kelloway introduces our Carbon Intensity app, a free tool to empower you to make more conscious decisions about when to use electricity.

National Grid ESO
© National Grid 2021

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