Day Ahead Half Hourly Demand Forecast Performance

This file contains historic half hourly day ahead national demand forecast, alongside the outturn values, adjustments for TRIAD avoidance estimates and Absolute Percentage Error (APE) for each half hour from Apr 2021 onwards. This file will be updated on a monthly basis.

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Table Information

Month

Title Month
Type string
Description Month in which the demand outturn occurred.
Comment
Example Apr
Unit

Date

Title Date
Type date
Description Date on which the demand outturn occurred.
Comment
Example 2021-04-18
Unit

Datetime

Title Datetime
Type datetime
Description Datetime at which the demand outturn occurred.
Comment Datetime follows clock changes (BST when UK was in BST and vice versa).
Example 2021-04-18T02:30:00Z
Unit GMT/BST

Settlement_Period

Title Settlement Period
Type integer
Description Settlement Period at which the demand outturn occurred.
Comment
Example 5
Unit Settlement Periods

Demand_Forecast

Title Demand Forecast
Type integer
Description National demand forecast for the specified datetime.
Comment
Example 23088
Unit MW

Demand_Outturn

Title Demand Outturn
Type integer
Description National demand outturn for the specified datetime.
Comment
Example 23502
Unit MW

TRIAD_Avoidance_Estimate

Title TRIAD Avoidance Estimate
Type integer
Description TRIAD avoidance estimated to have taken place at the time of the demand outturn.
Comment This will be 0 for all time periods when it is not TRIAD season.
Example 0
Unit MW

TRIAD_Avoidance_Corrected_Demand_Outturn

Title TRIAD Avoidance Corrected Demand Outturn
Type integer
Description National demand outturn after adding on any estimated TRIAD avoidance.
Comment This will be unchanged from the demand outturn when it is not TRIAD season.
Example 23502
Unit MW

APE

Title Absolute Percentage Error
Type number
Description Absolute Percentage Error of the forecast.
Comment
Example 1.8
Unit %

Absolute_Error

Title Absolute Error
Type integer
Description Absolute Error of the forecast
Comment N/A
Example 132
Unit MW

Publish_Datetime

Title Publish Datetime
Type datetime
Description The datetime at which the forecast was made.
Comment Datetime follows clock changes (BST when UK was in BST and vice versa).
Example 2021-04-17T08:45:00Z
Unit GMT/BST